Damage Control
You can’t say that you have unlimited risk in selling puts because the lowest the stock can go is to zero. That is your downside. If the stock is below the strike price, it will get put to you.
You have one other strategy that can be played right up to and through the expiration date. It is called “rolling out.” Here’s the way it works. Let’s say the stock is at $46. Last month you sold the $50 put for $2.25 when the stock was at $48.50. You had hopes it would go up. It hasn’t. If you have to buy the stock, your basis will be $47.75, as you have received $2.25. One problem is the heavy duty amount of cash you’ll need to purchase the stock—even $25,000 on margin.
You think you could find a better use for the money. The put is currently $4.25—buy it back. Actually, you’re just purchasing the same put (strike price, month) as you sold. This will close the position—it’s a wash on your broker’s computer. If you had ten contracts, you would have lost a little over $2,000 after you add up the commissions. You could just end it here, but don’t. There’s another play.
Remember, you liked this company’s stock at this price. Check it out. Is the story line still in place? Yes, it didn’t go above the $50 like you planned—at least, not yet. If you still think it will do so, roll on out to the next month.
Let’s continue. Try to catch the stock on a dip—even if in a roll or slam in trading. Say it’s going between $465/8 and $463/4. It occasionally drops to$462/8. At that point sell the November $50 put. It’s going for $4.50. That’s $4,500. You’re back in the money again, and you’ve made a profit.
If you don’t think it will go above $4.50, look at the $45 put. It’s going for $2′/8, or $2,125. If you sold this you’d about break even on the original loss. Yes, you have an open position to buy the stock at $45, but your homework says it will go up.
Another method would be to split the contracts. Say, sell five of the $50 puts and five of the $45 puts. You should and could consider purchasing $45 or $50 calls. Maybe the $45s for November, and the $50s for February.
It keeps going down. Believe me, there will be an end to this—you will eventually make money. The next month the stock is at $44. Let’s stick with the $50 puts as that will be most drastic. You sold the November 50 puts for $4.25. It will cost $6.50 to buy them back. This purchase will throw you back in the loss column. Not by much, though.
You’re sure, this time, that the stock will turn around. It just has to (or so you hope). So spend the money—$6,500. Now the December $50 puts are going for $8 and the $45s are going for $2. Sell the $45 puts. You’re profitable again. Also, look at the $40s—there might be some premiums there.
Now the stock moves back up to $47. Your December $45 put expires worthless, and you’ve made over $2,000 for all this trouble.
This could go on several months—but sometime (hopefully) the stock will turn around. When it does, you end it and keep the best batch of each. When you buy back this month’s put, you can always sell the next month out for more money.
And Finally
There are two more considerations.
1. You may want to consider only selling, or at least primarily selling out of the money puts, i.e. you sell the $50 put when the stock is at $52. This gives you a cushion. The problem is that the premiums are smaller and you have to weigh out the amount of margin tied up for the smaller option premium.
2. Stick with stocks in the $5 to $25 range. Selling puts and writing calls have a lot of the same risk/reward features—only in reverse. If you want nice premiums on stocks which won’t kill you to buy, the lower priced stocks may work better.
Remember, when you sell you have many ways of making money (see “Tandem Plays”). When you buy call options or put options you only have one. This rolling out strategy lets you stay in the game until you make money.
It’s simple: you generate cash whether you have to perform or not. If you do have to buy the stock, you purchased it at a less expensive price than otherwise. I love selling puts because you get the best of both worlds—cash now and wholesale prices.
